Valuation, Profitability, and Risk Assessment of PLDT Inc. (PSE: TEL):A Fundamental and Technical Analysis as of May 2026

作者

  • Ramon George Atento First Asia Institute of Technology and the Humanities ##default.groups.name.author##
  • Paul Aldrin S. Manzana First Asia Institute of Technology and the Humanities ##default.groups.name.author##

##doi.readerDisplayName##:

https://doi.org/10.65166/8bp7h116

关键词:

PLDT Inc., fundamental analysis, technical analysis, valuation,  profitability, leverage, telecommunications

摘要

   

This study examines the valuation, profitability, and risk profile of PLDT Inc. (PSE: TEL) through a company-level fundamental and technical analysis as of May 2026. As one of the major telecommunications firms in the Philippines, PLDT operates in a capital-intensive industry where market valuation must be interpreted together with earnings performance, liquidity, leverage, dividend capacity, and technical market behavior. The study employed a descriptive financial analysis design using secondary market and financial data obtained from publicly accessible financial platforms, stock market summaries, company-related financial data pages, and technical charting tools. Results show that PLDT presents potentially attractive valuation signals, with P/E ratios ranging from 9.00 to 10.17, a price-to-sales ratio of 1.22, a price-to-book ratio of 2.10, and an EV/EBITDA ratio of 5.55. However, quarterly income statement data for 2025 show that while revenue remained relatively stable, net income declined from PHP 9.03 billion in Q1 2025 to PHP 3.59 billion in Q4 2025. Liquidity indicators were weak, with a current ratio of 0.46 and quick ratio of 0.45, while leverage remained substantial, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.83. Dividend yield was high at 7.52%, but dividend history showed variability. Technical indicators also suggested caution, with bearish RSI, negative MACD, downtrends in the 20-day and 50-day periods, and price weakness relative to major moving averages. The study concludes that PLDT may show valuation appeal, but this must be weighed against profitability compression, leverage, liquidity limitations, dividend sustainability concerns, and cautious technical signals. The study is intended for academic analysis only and does not constitute financial advice.

##plugins.themes.default.displayStats.downloads##

##plugins.themes.default.displayStats.noStats##

参考

Abubakar, A. O., & Anyonje, S. A. (2025). Financial leverage and corporate financial performance: A comprehensive review. East African Finance Journal, 4(2), 34–54. https://doi.org/10.59413/eafj/v4.i2.3

Akbar, A., Akbar, M., Nazir, M., Poulová, P., & Ray, S. (2021). Does working capital management influence operating and market risk of firms? Risks, 9(11), 201. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks9110201

Alalaya, M., Rawashdeh, H. A. A., & Alkhateb, A. (2018). Combination method between fuzzy logic and neural network models to predict Amman Stock Exchange. Open Journal of Business and Management, 6(3), 632–650. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojbm.2018.63048

Arifuddin, A., Hadisantoso, E., Sari, I. M., & Yulianti, A. F. (2023). How liquidity, profitability, and leverage ratios influence financial distress: A study on Indonesian mining firms. Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah, 11(3), 243–252. https://doi.org/10.22437/ppd.v11i3.27470

Atento, R. G. (2025). Valuation metrics, market efficiency, and investor sentiment: A descriptive analysis of Philippine Stock Exchange–listed firms. International Journal of Health & Business Analytics, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.65166/6kbeat87

Atento, R. G., & Atento, A. G. (2025). Which Fundamentals Differentiate Philippine Stock Winners from Laggards? A Rank-Based Multinomial Analysis of 2025 Price Appreciation. International Journal of Health & Business Analytics, 1(2). https://doi.org/10.65166/n7t3ew73

Atento, R. G. O., & Atento, A. G. B. (2025b). Global equity valuation dispersion: Evidence from P/E benchmarks, percentile positioning, and trend margins. International Journal of Health and Business Analytics, 1(2), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.65166/2pd5k207

Atento, R. G., & Mangubat, M. (2025). Integrated fundamental–technical evaluation of Jollibee Foods Corporation: Financial performance, market behavior, and investment outlook. International Journal of Health & Business Analytics, 1(2). https://doi.org/10.65166/azkk2x82

Boďa, M., & Jeřábek, R. (2023). Corporate value, price and dividend policy: A case study of U.S. listed firms. Managerial and Decision Economics, 45(2), 664–684. https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4024

Bossman, A., Agyei, S. K., Asiamah, O., Agyei, E. A., Arhin, E. Y., & Marfo-Yiadom, E. (2022). Dividend policy and performance of listed firms on Ghana Stock Exchange. Cogent Economics & Finance, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2127220

Bui, T. N. T., Nguyễn, X. H., & Pham, K. T. (2023). The effect of capital structure on firm value: A study of companies listed on the Vietnamese stock market. International Journal of Financial Studies, 11(3), 100. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs11030100

Bulău, V. (2022). Reliable enterprise valuation methods: A case study on Romania’s investment funds. European Journal of Economic and Financial Research, 6(2). https://doi.org/10.46827/ejefr.v6i2.1298

Bustani, B., Kurniaty, K., & Widyanti, R. (2021). The effect of earning per share, price to book value, dividend payout ratio, and net profit margin on the stock price in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Jurnal Maksipreneur: Manajemen, Koperasi, dan Entrepreneurship, 11(1), 1. https://doi.org/10.30588/jmp.v11i1.810

Chiu, J. L., Chiu, C. L., Ho, H.-C., & Mansumitrchai, S. (2020). Strategies and developments of Philippine telecommunications industry: Revisiting the struggle, liberalisation and innovations. International Journal of Electronic Finance, 10, 43–43. https://doi.org/10.1504/ijef.2020.110291

Choiriyah, C., Fatimah, F., Agustina, S., & Ulfa, U. (2021). The effect of return on assets, return on equity, net profit margin, earning per share, and operating profit margin on stock prices of banking companies in Indonesia Stock Exchange. International Journal of Finance Research, 1(2), 103–123. https://doi.org/10.47747/ijfr.v1i2.280

Consler, J., Lepak, G., & Havranek, S. (2011). Earnings per share versus cash flow per share as predictor of dividends per share. Managerial Finance, 37(5), 482–488. https://doi.org/10.1108/03074351111126960

Costa, V. D., & Atento, R. G. (2025). Financial performance and market viability of Globe Telecom, Inc.: An integrated fundamental–technical analysis. International Journal of Health & Business Analytics, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.65166/v5x9d097

Cui, C., Harrison, J., Ng, F., & Rouse, P. (2025). Accounting choices in data envelopment analysis. Journal of Productivity Analysis. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11123-024-00749-9

Daraojimba, C., Bakare, A. D., Olurin, J. O., Abioye, K. M., Obinyeluaku, M., & Daraojimba, D. O. (2023). A review of post-COVID telecommunication investment trends: Impacts on infrastructure development. Computer Science & IT Research Journal, 4(1), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.51594/csitrj.v4i1.577

Del Mundo, F., & Atento, R. G. (2025). Fundamental and Technical Indicator Analysis of San Miguel Corporation: Financial Performance, Market Behavior, and Investment Evaluation. International Journal of Health & Business Analytics, 1(2). https://doi.org/10.65166/6vdtp816

Enow, S. T. (2023). Valuing equity securities using fundamental analysis: Evidence from international stock markets. International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science, 12(6), 153–158. https://doi.org/10.20525/ijrbs.v12i6.2644

Esfahani, H. S. (1994). Regulations, institutions, and economic performance: The political economy of the Philippines’ telecommunications sector. RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 1. https://documents.worldbank.org/curated/pt/768751468776112815/

Fauzi, R. A., Achsani, N. A., Andati, T., & Anggraeni, L. (2022). The effect of capital structure on telecommunication firm performance. International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, 11(2), 98–108. https://doi.org/10.20525/ijfbs.v11i2.1798

Ferdiansah, Y. D., Liyundira, F. S., & Paramita, R. W. D. (2023). The influence of profitability, leverage and free cash flow on firm value with dividend policy as a moderation variable. In Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research (pp. 68–74). Atlantis Press. https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-346-7_14

Husák, M. (2022). Do Damodaran’s multiples value a company accurately? Evidence from Germany. European Financial and Accounting Journal, 17(3), 5–21. https://doi.org/10.18267/j.efaj.273

Ibrahim, D. (2013). Theoretical study of technical analysis indicators. HAL. https://theses.hal.science/tel-00919102

Izzi, L., Oricchio, G., & Vitale, L. (2012). Rating assignment on telecom operators. In G. Oricchio, L. Lugaresi, & S. Crovetto (Eds.), Corporate and investment banking (pp. 232–239). Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230361188_13

Janaćković, T., Georgiev, M., & Janaćković, M. (2022). Liquidity analysis of oil companies in the Republic of Serbia. Anali Ekonomskog Fakulteta u Subotici, 48, 119–137. https://doi.org/10.5937/aneksub2248119j

Kangariwala, D. (2025). A comparative study on predictive performance of Bollinger Band indicator: An Indian market view. Journal of Informatics Education and Research, 5(2). https://doi.org/10.52783/jier.v5i2.2458

Kothapalli, C. D., Navya, G., Jaladhi, U., Sulthana, S. R., Kumar, D. L. S., & Praveen, S. P. (2023). Predicting buy and sell signals for stocks using Bollinger Bands and MACD with the help of machine learning. 2023 International Conference on Sustainable Computing and Smart Systems, 333–340. https://doi.org/10.1109/icscss57650.2023.10169500

Kroy, M., & Desmiza, D. (2025). The effect of return on assets, current ratio, debt to equity ratio, and company size on firm value: A study on telecommunications sub-sector companies in Indonesia. Moneta: Journal of Economics and Finance, 3(4), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.61978/moneta.v3i4.726

Kumala, C., Ye, Z., & Ke, Q. (2023). Why does price deviate from net asset value? The case of Singaporean infrastructure REITs. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4394633

Luspratama, R., & Handoyo, S. E. (2024). The effect of free cash flow, leverage, and profitability on dividend policy in IDX-listed transportation and logistics companies. Oblik i Finansi, 70–78. https://doi.org/10.33146/2307-9878-2024-2(104)-70-78

Masum, A. A. (2014). Dividend policy and its impact on stock price: A study on commercial banks listed in Dhaka Stock Exchange. Global Disclosure of Economics and Business, 3(1), 7–16. https://doi.org/10.18034/gdeb.v3i1.166

Melda, M., Mira, M., & Nurlina, N. (2025). Analysis of the effectiveness of RSI and MACD indicators in addressing stock price volatility. Wiga: Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu Ekonomi, 15(1), 71–79. https://doi.org/10.30741/wiga.v15i1.1449

Ng, E. C. Y. (2011). What determines productivity performance of telecommunications services industry? A cross-country analysis. Applied Economics, 44(18), 2359–2372. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2011.564145

Nona, R. G., & Atento, R. G. (2025). Integrating fundamentals and technicals: Investment attractiveness of Puregold Price Club, Inc. International Journal of Health & Business Analytics, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.65166/e0y0mb43

Olbert, L. (2024). Financial analysts’ use of industry-specific stock valuation models. Linköping University Press. https://doi.org/10.3384/9789180758819

Pohler, M., & Grübling, J. (2007). The CAPEX-to-sales trap. In Contributions to economics (pp. 439–458). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-7908-1746-5_23

Pratama, A., & Henida, D. E. (2025). Comparative analysis of stock valuation models: The case of the Indonesian banking sector. International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, 21(2), 163–170. https://doi.org/10.33094/ijaefa.v21i2.2186

Psaradellis, I., Laws, J., Pantelous, A. A., & Sermpinis, G. (2021). Technical analysis, spread trading, and data snooping control. International Journal of Forecasting, 39(1), 178–191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.10.002

Redžepagić, S. (2009). Application of MACD and RVI indicators as functions of investment strategy optimization on the financial market. HAL. https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02392830

Reyes, K. B., Lantin-Magana, L. M., Atento, A. G., Espelita, C. A. M., & Atento, R. G. (2026). Sectoral Valuation Profiles and Earnings Quality in the Philippine Equity Market: A Descriptive Cross-Sectional Study of PSE-Listed Firms as of End-Q1 2026. Asian Financial Economics and Policy, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.65166/sm24ag86

Rodríguez-Valencia, L., Lamothe-Fernández, P., & Alaminos, D. (2023). The market value of SMEs: A comparative study between private and listed firms in alternative stock markets. Annals of Finance, 19(1), 95–117. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10436-022-00420-z

Sami, H., Kazi, A., Niloy, P., & Ashrafi, N. (2022). Evaluating the prediction accuracy of MACD and RSI for different stocks in terms of standard market suggestions. Canadian Journal of Business and Information Studies, 137–143. https://doi.org/10.34104/cjbis.022.01370143

Smith, C., Ikenberry, D. L., Nayar, A., Anda, J., McVey, H., & Stewart, B. (2020). Morgan Stanley roundtable on capital structure and payout policy. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 32(1), 92–107. https://doi.org/10.1111/jacf.12391

Sunardi, N. (2022). Liquidity and asset growth on telecommunications companies value. Jurnal SEKURITAS (Saham, Ekonomi, Keuangan dan Investasi), 5(3), 299. https://doi.org/10.32493/skt.v5i3.23882

Taniwidjaja, D. A., & Murtaqi, I. (2025). Valuation and business performance analysis of PT Barito Renewables Energy Tbk. (BREN) post-IPO. Journal of Accounting and Finance Management, 5(6), 1284–1290. https://doi.org/10.38035/jafm.v5i6.1291

Tharavanij, P., Siraprapasiri, V., & Rajchamaha, K. (2017). Profitability of candlestick charting patterns in the Stock Exchange of Thailand. SAGE Open, 7(4). https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244017736799

Wahyuni, N., & Gani, A. A. (2022). Reviewing the firm value in terms of profit, debt, and growth. Jurnal Manajemen, 26(1), 121–139. https://doi.org/10.24912/jm.v26i1.843

##submission.downloads##

已出版

2026-05-26